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It is still a great time to be a home buyer in the Columbus, Ohio area. But, in my opinion, the real estate market has now started to turn in Central Ohio. The market will gradually start shifting back to a normal market which is typically a Seller’s market. There are 3 to 4 reasons why the real estate market in Columbus, Ohio is finally starting to change. 
Reason number 1: Mortgage rates bottomed out at a few weeks ago at a low of 5.125% – 5.250%. We have seen the end to flat, low home prices and super low mortgage rates. Everything will start to rise (interest rates and house prices) from this point forward. I predict, in the next six to nine months will still see rates in the range of 6.00% – 6.75% and home prices just modestly increasing. As home buyers we can’t really complain, mortgage interest rates in the “6” range is still really good.
Reason 2: President Bush will sign the economic stimulus package in a few days. In financial terms, the 170 billion+ package will not actually do that much to improve the economy. But, it will help a little. The main benefit of the economic stimulus package is that the consumer confidence in the economy and our government will increase because we were able to get something accomplished, even though that “something” was very small.
Reason 3: My personal buyer activity has increased dramatically in the last 10 – 14 days. I’ve been receiving a lot of phone calls and emails from interested home buyers with questions and looking for help.
Reason 4: It’s all about supply & demand. The inventory in the last 9 months has continued to drop drastically. The end of last Summer we had 21,000+ listings on our multiple listing service(MLS) system. As of right now, we have a little more than 16,300 listings. Granted the drop in the listings is mainly due to the slow winter and holiday season. But, it is still a significant decrease. Even with the listings going down, we are still at insanely high inventory levels. The key months to watch inventory levels will be May, June & July. How these three months go will probably predict the rest of 2008.
This is my prediction on where we are headed in 2008 for the real estate market in Columbus, Ohio. Back in September of 2007 (about 5 months ago), I correctly forecasted in 2008 that we would see all mortgage programs with rates well under 6%. Review my 5.99% or Lower blog post. I did receive a few emails and phone calls from lenders that didn’t think I knew what I was talking about. These lenders didn’t think rates would go that low. I guess I got lucky on that forecast. Again, I could be wrong or I could be right on my latest prediction for 2008. I still think 2008 will be a great year for home buyers. But, the buyer’s market is sort of over. Good Luck!
Finally a good article that fully explains everything the consumer needs to know about buyer agents. Broderick Perkins with deadlinenews.com has put out one of the best articles that I could find explaining the differences among “so called” buyer agents. Fake Buyer Agents have always been a problem for the average home buyer. Hopefully, similar articles will follow in the future. Watch out and good luck out there!
Another builder is leaving the central Ohio market. Beazer announced on Friday, February 1st that they will stop building new homes in the Columbus, Ohio market. New home builders have really been affected by the real estate slow down. Beazer is the second major new home builder to pull out of our market in the last year. Last Summer, Centex homes stopped building in our area.
As an Exclusive (true) Buyer Agent since 1996, I have had to consistently deal with the false manipulation of real estate statistics by real estate agents that is often encouraged by our local real estate board and multiple listings service (MLS). Recently the “days on the market” (DOM) statsitic has been in the news lately because multiple listing services in other 
parts of the country (for example, Southern California) are debating on removing DOM from reports that home buyers view.
A quote from the SoCalMLS (Southern California Multiple Listing Service) online newsletter, “the bottom line is that you, the real estate professional are in the best position to explain to your customer-buyer or seller-what the true DOM figure is and what it means”. Part of this quote is true, you need to use an exclusive buyer broker that you trust to help explain the pros and cons of ALL real estate statistics. But one thing I’ve learned from being a buyer broker is that you have to be able to “read between the lines” or “filter out the garbage” when disseminating information. In my opinion, the MLS systems and real estate boards will ALWAYS favor the Seller, and not the Buyer or the consumer in general. The above quote from the SoCalMLS is a perfect example of what I am talking about. It does make sense to have a qualified, experienced agent help explain the DOM statistic to a Buyer or Seller. So, WHY hasn’t this been SoCalMLS policy from the beginning? Isn’t it strange, that they now want to implement this change in a slow real estate market that is now cosidered a BUYERS MARKET? In my opinion, the real estate boards feel that the depressing DOM stat is making it harder to sell homes in this slow market. Why are their so many people out there that have their heads so far up there $%&*@#.
I agree that many times consumers are “bombarded” or overloaded with a lot of information and statistics. Sometimes the information and statistics are meaningless. But the solution to the problem is not to limit, delete or “hold back” information from the consumer. The best type of market for any industry is where the products, services and information are totally open and available to all consumers. That’s my opinion!
Another “somewhat” good article about buyer’s agents popped up over the weekend in the Columbus Dispatch newspaper. Buyer’s agents work on clients behalf, using one can help bring a better deal on home purchase. This story was written by Mary Ellen Slayter of The Washington Post. Mary has a decent history of writing informative articles (for example, Watching Out for You, the Buyer) that help educate home buyers and explain the virtues of using a buyer’s agent.
But, like many writers, Mary’s articles fall short of providing accurate information. Mary’s main sources and references in her articles are mainly tainted by traditional real estate agents and organizations that are trying to promote the real estate industry in general, and NOT really promoting true buyer advocacy. The most important issue for any potential home buyer is to first find a qualified Exclusive (true) Buyer Agent (EBA). Articles like Mary’s do more harm than good because they don’t clearer state the important differences between a traditional real estate buyer agent and an Exclusive Buyer Agent.
Many traditional buyer agents will sell homes and take listings. This creates a huge, conflict of interest to any home buyer and exposes them to being “sold” properties by their so called buyer agent instead of their buyer agent being their advocate and adviser. Almost all Exclusive (true) Buyer Agent have access to all homes in their market but they do NOT SELL homes or take listings at all! An Exclusive Buyer Agent is the highest, best representation possible for any home buyer.
Many traditional buyer agents are just using the “title” to try and capture business. Mary’s suggestion for finding a buyer agent, “Another way to find a buyer’s agent is to visit open houses” is probably one of the most negligent and craziest suggestions that I’ve ever heard. Home buyers should start at the National Association of Exclusive Buyer Agents (NAEBA) if they are trying to find a good, qualified buyer agent. Good luck!
Last week, National City Bank announced that they will lay off 900 employees from their National City Mortgage division. National City has decided to shut down their wholesale mortgage department. The wholesale department was responsible for originating first and second mortgages with other mortgage brokers. National City will still originate 
mortgages to the consumers through their branch office networks.
National City Bank is the the state of Ohio’s largest bank. The layoffs can be directly tied to the problems in the sub-prime mortgage crisis. This is another example of Banks “circling the wagons” and tightening credit options. As an Exclusive Buyer Agent I am actually more concerned with the trend of banks restricting or tightening credit options then with the layoffs. Tightening credit options & layoffs are both terrible for our economy. But, in my opinion, the bank management decisions to tighten credit and make it harder for the consumer to obtain mortgages will be a lot more detrimental to our economy and recovery in the long run. Contact me if you have any questions or if you are looking for a lender.
Finally some good news for Central Ohio home buyers. Cincinnati’s largest home builder, Fischer homes will be entering 
the new build home/condo market in the Columbus, Ohio area. Fischer homes saw a good opportunity to finally enter the Central Ohio market. Fisher homes was able to purchase land and lots from Centex homes, that pulled out of the Columbus market last year. Fischer Homes acquired more than 280 lots in Central Ohio.
the new build home/condo market in the Columbus, Ohio area. Fischer homes saw a good opportunity to finally enter the Central Ohio market. Fisher homes was able to purchase land and lots from Centex homes, that pulled out of the Columbus market last year. Fischer Homes acquired more than 280 lots in Central Ohio.
Fischer Homes appears to be a fairly strong builder with a good reputation. As an Exclusive Buyer Agent I looking forward to working with my new home build clients to compare Fischer Homes to the other good home builders that are already established in our market. The increased competition with new home builders will be GREAT for my buyer clients. In my opinion, the competition between builders will increase QUALITY and LOWER PRICES in the long run. For more information on buying a new build home or condo check out this section in our main company web site. Good luck to Fischer Homes!
It has been a rough year for the real estate market & mortgage industry. But this week there was some good news, the US Congress extended legislation that makes mortgage insurance payments tax deductible until 2010. This legislation is one of the “bright spots” that will really help new and existing homebuyers for the next three years. Deducting the cost of mortgage insurance tax returns is expected to SAVE eligible borrowers $200 – $400 a year. The tax legislation, originally approved in December 2006, is basically the same expect for the three year extension. Borrowers whose annual adjusted gross income is $100,000 or less can fully deduct their mortgage insurance premiums from their 2007 – 2010 tax returns for homes purchased or refinanced during those time frames. Borrowers with incomes between $100,000 and $109,000 are eligible for a reduced tax break under the law. You can contact me if you further questions.
Below are some great links and a video that really help explain & understand mortgage insurance (MI) and last year’s tax legislation.
MarketWatch: Explaining The Tax Status of Mortgage Insurance
Wikipedia – Mortgage Insurance
News Story – One Step Closer To The American Dream!
Good Luck,
I’ve been receiving a lot of good information from experienced lenders that I trust. Everyone really needs to be aware of some drastic changes that will be occurring in 2008. The sub-prime lending mess, declining real estate market and foreclosures in the past few years has finally starting to “trickle down” and will affect almost all potential home buyers. In 2008 you will see a lot of changes to underwriting guidelines. The good news is that FHA loans will be less affected than conventional loans. The demand for FHA loans will probably increase in 2008. The guidelines will be more strict. For example:
*Conventional loan home buyers with a credit score of less than 680 and less than 30% down will see a significant increase in interest rates.
*Home buyers putting less than 5% down and a credit score of 620 will be ineligible for mortgage insurance. If you don’t qualify for mortgage insurance then you don’t qualify for the loan. This is not rocket science!!!
*Mortgage insurance companies will also require appraisers to document if a home is in a increasing, stable or declining market. If a home is in a declining market then a buyer putting less than 10% down and a credit score of 620 will be ineligible for mortgage insurance.
The problems in the lending market are really starting to take their toll on home buyers loan options. Again, most of these changes will affect conventional loans and not FHA loans. In 2008, FHA will incorporate a sliding scale for mortgage insurance rates based on credit score. This sliding scale system is more of a “reward” for higher credit guide scores than a “punishment”. As of right now, there are no major underwriting or pricing changes forecasted for FHA loans. So if you’re a potential home buyer next year, it is now even more important to make sure you use a good, experienced lender. Contact me if you need a reference for a good lender or if you have any further questions.
This Old House magazine’s latest Home Inspection Nightmares IX (9) photo gallery is hilarious. My favorite photos are #1 (8 junction boxes) & #5 (cymbal diverter). I love this photo gallery series. You can also check out past Home Inspection Nightmare photo galleries. All the photos are very funny. But, all joking aside, the photos reinforce an important part of buying a home.
First, always get a home inspection. Never skip a home inspection just to save a little money. 100% of my clients agree to do a home inspection or I will NOT represent them as their buyer agent. A home inspection contingency is one of the home-buyers best protection options. Second, make sure you home inspector is qualified. About half the states in the country have little or no licensing requirements for home inspectors. In many states, anyone can print up a business card and say they are a home inspector, even your Uncle Bubba!
I would recommend looking for a “certified” home inspector that is a member of The American Society of Home Inspectors (ASHI) or The National Association of Home Inspectors (NAHI). Both of these organizations are very good at establishing high standards of practice, inspection guidelines, professionalism and code of ethics for its members in the home inspection industry. It is very important that you make sure your inspector is a “certified” inspector. A “certified” home inspector has more experience, education and testing requirements than other home inspectors. You can search here for home inspectors in your area: ASHI home inspector search or NAHI home inspector search. Good Luck!
Below is one of our award winning buyer broker TV commericals that deals with home inspections. Check out my previous blog post for more information on our funny, informative television commercials.
My Buyer Broker Advocate! 
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